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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: July 2nd, 2023

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  • i swear the apple v android articles are fodder pumped out by media companies because it’s easy ad money.

    don’t get me wrong, conspicuous consumption has ruined some people’s ability to own their identity but outside of brand fanaticism surely “normal” customers purchase phones based on when they need it. When do you buy bread? Typically when you want to eat something which has bread.

    perhaps not the point of the original question but surely we’re getting beyond the point of being baited by low-quality online content.



  • We already know AGI isn’t possible with LLM technology but looking past this, what I despise in the current state of AI tech journalism is the loop of:

    • AI stakeholder/spokesperson says something unrealistic
    • Journalist nods their head approvingly
    • Article is virtually an ad that recounts an event
    • Rinse and repeat

    Too many tech enthusiasts masquerading as ‘journalists’ who seemingly suffer from short-term memory loss.

    It’s like i’m seeing the same information on repeat because ‘journalists’ fall for the same marketing tactics endlessly and do little to actually question what they hear.






  • I’m no expert so take what I say with a grain of salt.

    LLMs are prohibitively expensive to run.

    If I wanted to make a basic rollerball pen, the cost would be high because I would have to gather the resources just to make a single unit. Mass manufacturing drops the price considerably to make it affordable for me to buy a pen.

    But tokens aren’t the same as a factory line. If it’s $1 for me to use an LLM then it’s $100 for 100 people. It scales poorly.

    LLM availability over cloud infrastructure requires resources that are expensive to build and depreciate quickly to the point that ROI is untenable (ie. Nvidia’s GPUs).

    Now imagine a stock market that hinges around a handful of companies that are involved in that infrastructure component (eg. SK hynix). If many retail investors have dumped their savings into those stocks which can’t provide an expected return then the value of people’s savings will inevitably fluctuate on the whims of the AI industry.

    You can imagine what will happen the next time a Chinese company releases a free and efficient LLM that can run on an 8GB RAM personal laptop. The panic selling will reverberate through the markets and a lot of people’s savings will evaporate overnight.


  • they have the same problems we see in other advanced economies:

    • aging population
    • lack of housing
    • not enough births
    • household financial pressure
    • using trading/gambling as an additional income stream

    They do have well known global industries but workers generally-speaking aren’t paid enough / have limited free time outside of their work. To add more pressure I believe the government increased the pension which is typically paid by the working population who are already financially stretched as it is.

    They’re on track for destabilisation in the next 20-30 years.